| 2 December 2023, Saturday |

Dollar pares losses after inflation data, set for third week of gains

As markets increased bets on longer-term increases in interest rates and anxiously anticipated last-ditch talks on the U.S. debt ceiling, the dollar reversed some of its losses on Friday following a new readout of inflation data and was on track for a third straight weekly gain.

The Commerce Department said on Friday that U.S. consumer spending climbed more than forecast in April, rising 0.8% last month. This improved the economy’s growth expectations for the second quarter. Consumer spending, which makes up more than two thirds of American economic activity, was expected to increase by 0.4%, according to economists surveyed by Reuters.

The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index increased 0.4% in April after rising 0.1% in March. In the 12 months through April, the PCE price index increased 4.4% after advancing 4.2% in March

Following the data, the dollar hit a new six-month high against the yen and last stood at 140.255.

Apparent progress on Thursday in the talks between President Joe Biden and top congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy helped ease jitters, but markets stayed on edge over any risk of a default ahead of a long bank holiday weekend in the U.S.

“Monday is a bank holiday in the U.S. so market participants will have to wait until Tuesday 30th May to trade positions again so there is a strong belief that Washington needs to make a deal happen today,” currency analysts at MUFG said in a note.

Wall Street traders have become increasingly wary of U.S. government debt securities, but the prospect of an imminent deal helped lift sentiment across markets on Friday and boost more risk-sensitive currencies at the expense of the dollar.

The U.S. dollar index , which tracks the currency against six major counterparts, was last down 0.096% on the day at 104.130, just off Thursday’s two-month high of 104.31.

The dollar’s recent momentum has also been driven by raised expectations that the Federal Reserve will have to keep interest rates higher for longer to subdue inflation.

Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased moderately last week to 229,000, lower than expectations.

“Recent moves in currencies have been mainly driven by a sharp repricing of FOMC policy,” said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA).

Leading European policymakers struck varying tones on the future path of euro zone inflation on Friday, with European Central Bank chief economist Philip Lane pushing back against concerns about core inflation.

The euro was last up 0.07% against the dollar at $1.07320, but was not far from its two-month low of $1.0708 hit in the previous session.

Sterling gained 0.3% to $1.23570, after data showed British consumers picked up spending in April, although the currency was still heading for a weekly loss.

  • Reuters