The Presidency of the Republic’s move to sign the maritime border decree is possible, based on the previous experiences of President Aoun. But it is naive to proceed towards the decree’s signature in the aim to negotiate with the US for lifting US sanctions on Bassil, because it is not so easy to extort Americans on a particular issue. Aoun is aware that sanctions against Bassil, came due to his complete subordination to Iran and Hezbollah.
Also, the President of the Republic in Lebanon, Michel Aoun, is not the decision-maker in this file or anything else, and the coming days may reveal the paper that Hezbollah militia will negotiate in exchange for concealing the file of amending Decree 6433 related to moving the maritime borders.
Does Hezbollah want to keep the decree in the drawers? Will it be the main negotiating party later in every file related to the demarcation of the border? And most importantly of all, can President Aoun hide this file without the knowledge and approval of Hezbollah?
Everyone knows that the decision to demarcate the maritime borders with Israel is a major strategic decision that the party considers its right, and it is definitely an unnatural and illogical right, but will the United States and Israel agree to negotiate indirectly or directly perhaps with Hezbollah? The consequences of things will answer this question in the coming days.
The United States and Israel are far from talking emotionally like some officials in Lebanon, and everyone knows how America negotiated with the Taliban militia in Afghanistan, so what prevents us from repeating the experience with Lebanon?
Dear reader, Americans work with facts and not with emotions, and their interests may sometimes lead them to harmful and incorrect choices in terms of implementation and action. The Israeli will find himself forced to negotiate with Hezbollah, because the latter is the one who holds the decision of war and peace in the country. Israel, as well as the United States, refuse to negotiate with a controlled, non-ruling state.
Lebanon today is in the Republic of Hezbollah, and this has become clear to the international community. The opposition inside, whose constellation has begun to expand in the face of Iranian tyranny, will not remain silent for long. It is no longer a secret to anyone that Hezbollah is an Iranian faction, and its silence can only be explained by complacency and acceptance, since this file falls within the framework of its major strategies, to the extent that the process of hiding the demarcation file took place by a decision from it.
Since the demarcation file constitutes a major pressure card, and when the party feels that it needs to put it back on the table, it will withdraw it from the drawers, so the fateful issues in Lebanon depend on the Hezbollah’s mood and Iran’s interests.