| 18 April 2024, Thursday |

Gulf stalemate towards Lebanon will only change with political change

Convening the consultative conference of Arab foreign ministers in Beirut next Saturday, is a message of moral support for Lebanon, considers an Arab diplomatic source, adding that although the meeting will not result in any radical shift in Arabs’ view in general, and the Gulf in particular, regarding the way to reform the relationship with Lebanon and the requirements, through steps that should start first from Lebanon.
In its context, comes what was included in the statements of the Saudi-Egyptian and Saudi-Jordanian summits on Lebanon, in a renewed attempt to disengage Lebanon from the Iranian axis, and re-emphasize certain constants ahead of the US-Gulf summit that will be held in mid-July, in which Egypt and Jordan will participate. Saudi, Jordanian and Egyptian diplomacy on finding common ideas about Lebanon were included in the two statements, despite some differences in Jordanian and Egyptian stances from Saudi and Gulf ones, in the way they approach the Lebanese file.

According to what the source told “Sawt Beirut International,” tha Arabs consider that their demands for Lebanon have not been fulfilled and may not be fulfilled, but at least some of them must, in order to achieve the beginning of a change in their stance towards Lebanon. The Gulf states also consider that economic aid has been provided to a number of Arab countries and finally to Egypt, which amounted to nearly twenty billion dollars, from Saudi Arabia and the UAE, just because Egypt announced its financial and economic needs and difficult conditions. Riyadh alone allocated to the Central Bank of Egypt $5 billion, and $7 billion to the private sector 5 billion in government investment. Moreover, Qatar, through its emir’s visit to Egypt, will also provide assistance. Yemen also receives Saudi and Gulf aid.

The Gulf Arabs also consider that Egypt receives serious aid due to its clear and alliance line with the Kingdom and the Gulf. While Lebanon is required to have a clear alliance policy with the Gulf, at a time it is almost unaware of its path. Lebanon will not experience substantial aid from the Gulf until its political path is clarified, and these two matters are directly related. This explains the Arab stagnation regarding Lebanon’s status, with the exception of humanitarian aid under the Franco-Saudi agreement. Lebanon will not witness actual breakthroughs, before a political change accepted by the Gulf.

Therefore, there are risks regarding the Lebanese reality remaining as it is for a certain period, that depends on the external requirements and the view of the major countries on Lebanon.

  • Sawt Beirut International