| 29 February 2024, Thursday |

Trump increases polling lead in Iowa ahead of first Republican contest

In a recent poll conducted in Iowa, the state where the Republican Party’s nominating contest will begin on January 15, Donald Trump has a significant and growing lead over his competitors for the nomination.

According to an NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll released on Monday, the former president has 51% first-choice support from those who are likely to participate in the Iowa caucuses next month. This is an increase from 43% in the same poll conducted in October.

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has 19% first-choice support in the poll – up from 16% in October – while former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley is at 16%, unchanged since the last poll.

Iowa uses a different system to pick presidential candidates than most other states where a traditional ballot is employed. Voters in Iowa – or caucus goers – will gather for several hours in thousands of locations on Jan. 15 to debate the candidates before ranking them. Polling Iowans’ first-choice preference is the best indicator of candidates’ support.

Despite myriad legal problems – he faces multiple criminal charges over his role in the deadly Jan. 6, 2021 riot at the U.S. Capitol, hush money payments to a porn star, and stolen classified documents – Trump is currently the runaway frontrunner to secure the Republican presidential nomination to face Democratic President Joe Biden in next November’s election, a likely re-match of the 2020 contest.

J. Ann Selzer, a veteran Iowa pollster who conducted the survey, called Trump’s lead in Iowa “commanding”.

Trump’s lead in Iowa is fueled by majorities of evangelical and first-time likely caucus goers, and by nearly three-quarters of Republicans who believe Trump can beat Biden next year, according to the poll.

Trump is also enjoying commanding leads over his Republican rivals in national polls and in New Hampshire, the second state to vote in the Republican nominating contest on Jan. 23.

  • Reuters