Despite such challenges as low interest rates and inflation risk, Swiss Re AG’s Chief Americas economist said on Friday that the global insurance industry is positioned to recover more swiftly and aggressively from the pandemic than it did after the 2008 financial crisis.
The epidemic, unlike the last crisis, did not diminish insurers’ total capitalization or financial strength, allowing them to write new coverage and grow income, according to economist Thomas Holzheu.
Writing new policies was more difficult in 2009 and 2010 when insurers were reeling from capital losses, slow economic growth and depleted incomes of companies and individuals.
In contrast, businesses and individuals now have more money from government stimulus and support programs, and are more conscious of the need to buy protection against risks, he added.
“We see a much stronger, more resilient demand for insurance – last year, this year, and we expect for the next few years – compared with the financial crisis, when the industry was a part of the financial markets issues,” he said.
Swiss Re’s view aligns with other bullish signs. Global commercial insurance prices, for example, rose 18% in the first quarter of 2021 from a year earlier, on average, insurance broker Marsh McLennan Cos Inc said in May. Rates have risen since late 2017.
Swiss Re said it expects annual growth for all premiums, not just commercial, to reach 3.3% this year and 3.9% in 2022, after falling just 1.3% last year. That compares with a 3.7% decline in 2008, during the financial crisis, and a slower rebound of 0.5% and 2.1% in 2009 and 2010, respectively.
Sector bellwether Travelers Companies Inc on Tuesday beat second-quarter Wall Street estimates by more than $1.00 a share.
Other large U.S. insurers are due to report results over the next two weeks.