There are many factors that favor the change that the Lebanese seek through the electoral process that will take place on May 15th. Because if nothing changes, the hope for Lebanon’s sovereignty, freedom and true independence will decline, and the situation will remain as it is currently, rather it will deteriorate further economically and politically, according to well-informed diplomatic sources to “Sawt Beirut International.”
There are four conditions for change:
First: That no security incidents or major security emergencies that would stop the electoral preparations occur. Affected parties sought to disrupt the elections through law, but they were unsuccessful in doing so. The great international pressures on the parties who wanted to obstruction contributed to their return to accepting the electoral process.
Second: There is a tendency that despite the narrow living conditions, it is noticed that people stick to working to change the future of the country as a whole, and that they are aware of this goal. This means that these conditions lead, to a large extent, to a positive effect on the options for change at the expense of clientelism and the provision of short-term needs, whereby voting is for those who give jobs, services and benefits that are not related to political change, and if this trend grows, it means that a prerequisite for change is met.
The third: The traditional sovereign parties or those who represent the revolution and change are fully aware that the law on the basis of which the elections will take place, was formulated according to the measurements of the other parties, but it is important to go to the elections massively and choose the personalities who represent the real change, as well as not to abstain from voting, and not to Vote with a white paper, and pay attention to all of this, which helps in achieving the option of change.
Fourth: Knowing how to deal with illegal weapons and determining the extent of their use as an electoral commodity or weapon, amid questions about the impact of this, because all the electoral campaigns of the sovereigns and the revolution used this “commodity” as a priority above living, economic and financial crises, or that weapons are the main cause of them. It is a visible weapon in the electoral battle, although it is stored in the south inside homes and underground.
The explosion of the warehouse of the town of Benafoul in the south is quite similar to the explosion of the port of Beirut, and it was said that it was an explosion of the oxygen stored in the town, instead of explicitly declaring that it was a stored weapon. This weapon is not used on the southern borders. Rather, its internal use on May 7 and the imposition of decisions on the legitimate Lebanese authority or in Ain al-Remmaneh last fall led to its presence as a priority in the electoral campaigns. This led to the Shiite duo asking the legitimate security forces to take control of the situation. This is what really started in these areas.
However, the sources call for the election campaigns against weapons to be concurrent with holding the party accountable for its position in power, determining its responsibility for the current crisis, dismantling its political discourse, and responding to it.
It says that “Hezbollah” is in the process of being tested in its popularity, as it will not lose the elections, but it will lose a percentage of the votes, and perhaps the seats of some allies, and it will witness more boycotts in the voting process.