Lebanon is caught between taking and responding on both internal and external levels, but with no discernible effects. All eyes are on Wednesday’s Parliamentary election session, where expectations appear to compete with any surprises that may emerge.
However, it seems clear to diplomatic sources that neither Hezbollah is ready to abandon its candidate, the leader of the Marada Movement, Sleiman Franjieh, nor is Christian consensus. He is ready to backtrack on the candidate Jihad Azour, as the party will not consider him a consensual candidate. Sources believe that the two candidates may be burned as a prelude to reaching a third candidate, which requires a measure and an appropriate regional-international timing.
According to sources in a major metropolis, the repercussions of the Saudi-Iranian deal have not yet reached the Lebanese file, particularly the presidential file, and the regional settlement remains absent from this file. Saudi Arabia is interested in Yemen, Iraq, and Syria, and the parties in Lebanon believe that their nation will continue to be a priority.
Lebanon will not get international and Arab help as in the past, and Saudi priority will be concentrated on ensuring peace and stability in the area in order to finish Saudi programs in growth and development, because nothing can be done without security and its assurance. Economic initiatives. Iran promised Saudi Arabia security and stability, while in Syria, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad was welcomed by the Arabs in exchange for pledges, and there is peace in the Iraqi file.
However, the Lebanese issue has yet to be resolved within the scope of the regional solution. And no one knows when it will start to be debated or whether it will happen in a month, or even years. As a result, depending on the extent to which a certain event drives the parties to achieve a resolution and agreement on Lebanon, the crisis may be prolonged or reduced.
This settlement, which is not detailed till present, will be between Washington, Riyad and Iran. It is certain that France and other Gulf countries will have an influence in reaching it. So far, no party in the five-member committee on Lebanon has announced the date of its convening, but there are data indicating that it might convene at the end of June.