| 2 March 2024, Saturday |

Lula retains lead over Bolsonaro in Brazil’s election – poll

Former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a commanding lead over incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro ahead of the country’s October election, according to a Genial/Quaest survey issued on Wednesday.

According to the poll, Lula is expected to receive 44% of the vote in the first round, while Bolsonaro is expected to receive 32%. They had 45% and 33% two weeks ago, respectively.

Center-left candidate Ciro Gomes saw his support rise to 8%, from 6% in the previous survey.

In an expected run-off, Lula slightly widened his lead to a 14 percentage point gap – taking 51% of the votes against Bolsonaro’s 37%. In the previous poll, Lula had a 13-point lead.

The Genial/Quaest poll found that the negative view of Bolsonaro’s government dipped to 40% from 41% two weeks ago, while the percentage of those who see the government in a positive light increased one percentage point to 30%.

Pollster Quaest interviewed 2,000 voters in person between August 25-28. The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points.

  • Reuters