SAWT BEIRUT INTERNATIONAL

| 2 May 2024, Thursday |

“Open land” missiles, waiting for collective response against Iran.

While no one has adopted the launching of rockets from southern Lebanon towards the settlement of Kiryat Shmona, “Hezbollah” adopted launching more than 20 rockets towards the Galilee, which was met by the enemy’s bombing with more than 90 rockets on open lands, and what is remarkable, is that most of them are of the incendiary type.

There is a theory that links this operation, with Beirut port explosion investigation, after increasing data that “Hezbollah” owned and stored the ammonium, according to what a special source told “Sawt Beirut International”, who indicated that what happened yesterday is very similar to what happened in the July 2006 war, following Pointing the finger at “Hezbollah” for the assassination of the martyr Rafik Hariri, and when it got besieged, it caused the war that destroyed Lebanon and its infrastructure, as well as the fall of victims.

On the other hand, the source believes that the other theory indicates that the region will witness a “hot summer” based on an extensive and comprehensive reading of the region’s events, with the inauguration of the hard-line Iranian President Ibrahim Raisi, and his approach to the faltering nuclear file, and trying to exert pressure, for accepting his administration’s provisions, which cheered and hoped that it would achieve many gains after the departure of Donald Trump from the White House.

The source tells exactly what happened yesterday regarding the attack on Dov military base in Tel Aviv, pointing out that the missiles that hit it, were not launched from Lebanese territory, but from the Golan area, specifically from the towns of Tel al-Shaar, Habata al-Khashab and al-Hurriya, where the Fourth Division of the Syrian regime and members of “Hezbollah” are located. It is noteworthy that it was launched towards open lands, because they know very well that any violent Israeli response, will not happen, unless there are casualties. The goal of this operation was not the beginning of an open battle, but rather a limited response to prevent the loss of “Hezbollah” and Iran’s balance of deterrence.

The source continues, as for the Israeli enemy side, it dealt with this operation using the same strategy, as it fired its missiles towards open lands. This was clear through the Israeli statements regarding the unwillingness to escalate, accompanied by justification, that the missiles fell in open and uninhabited lands, “which indicates that it is not seeking war.” According to the statement of the Israeli army spokesman.

According to the source, It all remains “temporary”, and it will rely on the collective response prepared by the major countries, regarding Iran’s practices against the ships in the Arabian sea, the latest of which was targeting the tanker “Mercer Street”, which led to the killing of two of its crew, not to mention the pressure on the Israeli government, especially since there are voices calling for decisive response.

Still, most likely, is waiting for the international decision, which might be restricted to limited military operations against the “Iranian Revolutionary Guards” points in the Strait of Hormuz, which will in turn push Iran to respond from outside its territory, and through its militias in Lebanon and Syria. This expected scenario is based on US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken’s statements, who confirmed that they are coordinating with their British, Israeli, Romanian and other countries, to respond jointly against the Iranian attack, and of course against its militias in Lebanon and Syria.