SAWT BEIRUT INTERNATIONAL

| 5 May 2024, Sunday |

Scenarios for toppling elections in process

Despite the preparations made by the parties and civil society movements to run the parliamentary elections next May, the general image is similar to a puzzle that lacks some pieces that restore the image of the Lebanese Republic, which was logged into conflicts in favor of the axis of the Islamic Republic of Iran after the Assad family, its regime, and economy was exhausted, according to a special source for Sawt Beirut International.

The source added, with the approaching deadline for registering the lists and completing the alliances on April 4, the results will not meet the hopes of the changers, even on the axis of resistance, which includes orphans of the parties, and lists that may form the final blow to it, and reduce the number of Parliamentary seats.

Of course, the biggest loser will be the “Free Patriotic Movement” which has tried since its objection to bring forward the date of the elections, limit the registration of Lebanese expatriates, and obstruct the “megacenter”. As for the issue of “recovering depositors’ money” to restore popularity, it broke off from the top of the pyramid to reach the base, but these practices will not deceive people, because Lebanese voters have become certain that the ruling authority participated in the theft of their money “in solidarity”.

The source continued that the scenarios of overthrowing the parliamentary elections are in the preparation process, awaiting the timing of their announcement. The reforms requested by the International Monetary Fund are not materialized, and the shy leaks about the visit of the French diplomat, Pierre Duquesne, the Special Coordinator for International Aid to Lebanon, confirms that he has adjusted his plan.

The source pointed out that there are several factors that will contribute to this postponement, including those related to the international concerns with the war on Ukraine and the Iranian nuclear file. However, matters depend on the results of the five-year meeting held by the US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken in “Israel” in which the Emirates, Bahrain, Egypt, and Morocco will participate in. Perhaps this is what prompted the Iranian foreign minister to visit Lebanon and meet with the “Islamic Jihad” and “Hamas” movements, the military arms of Tehran, and this matter raises many questions if there are Iranian directives to prepare for all scenarios, including security.

On the internal level, there are many obstacles, the most prominent of which are related to the diplomatic corps, the retreat of ambassadors and the failure to decide on diplomatic formations. This constitutes a disruptive factor in the expatriate elections, while the funds allocated for these elections may not be available after the banking chaos resulting from the decisions of the Appeal Public Prosecutor in Mount Lebanon Ghada Aoun, which will have the greatest impact on electoral spending and the reluctance of a large number of voters because they are convinced of the futility of participation because change cannot take place in areas dominated by a armed party.

The source concluded by saying that the Lebanese officials’ insistence on holding the parliamentary elections and not postponing it remain promises to show their ability to commit to the international community. But what the latter demands cannot be divided as it is an integrated basket that the state has failed to achieve its first item related to reforms.

    Source:
  • Sawt Beirut International