| 24 July 2024, Wednesday |

What is the fate of Shamkhani and the impact of his departure from the scene on the Iranian-Saudi agreement?

Ali Shamkhani Al-Ahwazi, a name whose dismissal raised many question marks about the reasons that ousted him from the Iranian Supreme National Security Council, in which he holds the position of Secretary General, and he is the one who engineered the Iranian agreement with the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and brought it to the signing stage at a time when he did not have the opportunity to end the nuclear file and negotiations With the international group, after the approval obtained by former Iranian President Hassan Rouhani from Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, to transfer the file from the Supreme Council, which Shamkhani has chaired since 2013, to former Foreign Minister Muhammad Javad Zarif, who managed to conclude the agreement in 2015.

A source familiar with Iranian internal politics believes that the conflicts within the regime are raging around the internal arrangement of the post-Khamenei regime of the Guardianship of the Faqih. This conflict is taking place between the government and the “Iranian Revolutionary Guard,” which was clearly evident earlier with the announcement of former Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif’s resignation. Through a social networking site, and his successor, Hussein Abd al-Amir Allahian, who does not constitute an extension of the policy pursued by his predecessor, being one of the hawks of the regime and closest to the Supreme Leader, and his close association with the Iranian arms will help narrow the gap created by the killing of Qassem Soleimani, who is considered the architect of the strategy of exporting the Iranian revolution. militarily, politically and demographically.

It was remarkable, according to the source, that Raisi’s dismissal or resignation coincided with the appointment of Ali Reza Enayati as Iran’s ambassador to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, more than a month after the signing of the agreement in China. Relations between the two countries.

And the source continues, there is no doubt that the picture will not become clear in the foreseeable future, as a result of the rapid dismissals and appointments in terms of the political structure inside Iran, which seems to depend on changing some of the main players, as some believe that Shamkhani may be in competition with Ibrahim Raisi to head a government that accompanies the implementation of agreement that he sponsored.

While other sources believe that there is another reading related to the nature of the regime, which relies on maneuvers to evade commitments that appear to be painful, related to its external interventions through its arms in the region, and it will not empty the countries in which it paid heavy prices in its expansionist project, in which it undermined The regimes of these countries, and the recent military parade of “Hezbollah” in southern Lebanon is nothing but evidence that Khamenei’s regime is still playing on the brink of the abyss.

  • Sawt Beirut International