| 3 October 2022, Monday |

Will Aoun surrender to Hezbollah and Amal’s conditions?

Will the President of the Republic and the Prime Minister accept to hold a cabinet meeting and discuss the “packed” agenda set by the duo Hezbollah and Amal? What was revealed by the two presidents shows that they accepted the terms of reference of the duo. Of course, there is however a difference between the President of the Republic and the Prime Minister in approaching the issue.

Najib Mikati is known to be a tactful man, who neither likes to fight, nor being involved in oppositional situations. It is likely, therefore, that he will accept what the ‘Yellow Party’ and the Amal Movement have accepted for the cabinet sessions and for him. Yet, the President of the Republic has other calculations and considerations!

The covenant is at its end, and wants to secure the political continuity of Gebran Bassil, whether by trying to “bequeath” him the presidency or by strengthening his popular position. Both issues cannot be achieved unless Aoun and Bassil manage to obtain the largest number of Christian administrative appointments before the end of Aoun’s presidential term.

From here Aoun’s insistence that the cabinet reconvenes, versus Berri’s insistence on government not convening. Hence, Hezbollah also intervened with its two allies to hold government sessions according to a pre-packaged agenda, which constituted a compromise between Aoun and Berri’s proposals.

Will Aoun indefinitely accept to walk according to the logic of the Shiite duo? Will he completely abandon his goal of making administrative appointments that enhance the position of the Free Patriotic Movement within official departments?

Most likely, Aoun will continue his battle when the government reconvenes. Will Mikati’s government pay the price again while we go back to the tone of obstruction?

  • Sawt Beirut International